Rising interest rates and hawkish comments by the Fed caused a wave of deleveraging on a global scale. Investors pulled out rapidly from equities to reduce exposure, which caused the benchmark S&P 500 index to drop below its 100-day moving average:
The bear market in international equities, both Europe and emerging markets, accelerated to the downside:
Clearly, smart money is rotating into defensive sectors, while technology, cyclicals, and materials continue to underperform.
From the technical perspective, utilities look the best. The Fidelity Select Utilities Fund (FSUTX) made a new high yesterday, and we would not be surprised to see more investment money flowing into this defensive sector:
The relative strength for the telecom and the healthcare sectors is also positive:
The materials and the semiconductor sectors stand out as the weakest performers in 2018:
View fund rankings at FidelitySectorReport.com for more information.
The panic selling of gold continued again today and the Fidelity Select Gold Fund (FSAGX, last change: -4.31%) was the worst performing fund in the FidelitySignal.com daily survey. In addition, multiple equity sectors “rolled over” in recent sessions and are in danger of entering a bearish downtrend. These events, taken together with the bubble-like rise of the Japanese stock market point to a highly unstable market environment. Unless the equity markets stabilize in the next few sessions, we see an increased probability of a serious correction or even a stock market crash.
Buy/sell signals for Fidelity funds are available at FidelitySignal.com
Broad-based selling continued around the globe today due to increasing worries about the resolution of the Euro debt crisis. With almost all sectors and international markets dropping sharply there was no place to hide, with the exception U.S. treasury bonds.
However, as the bull run in treasuries is approaching an overbought condition and the dollar strengthening against all major currencies, that safest investment for individual investors may be dollar denominated money market funds.
The Fidelity Europe fund (FIUEX) dropped a whopping 3.72% today on renewed Euro debt worries and is approaching its support level.
Mutual fund screens are provided by FidelitySignal.com