Sector Rotation: Technology Sector Outperforms in 2015; Avoid the Utilities and Natural Resources Sectors

Summary:

  • The technology sector, led by Apple, semiconductor and large cap Internet companies, has become one of the leading equity sectors in 2015
  • Rising interest rates resulted in a trend reversal for the utility sector
  • The strengthening dollar and declining energy prices cause the natural resources sector to resume its decline

The Nasdaq index (where many of the market-leading technology companies are listed) closed above the historically important 5,000 level yesterday. This level has not been seen since the dot com bubble of 2000. This time around, we think that the bull market in the technology sector is sustainable and stock prices will go higher from here.

One of the best ways to participate in this trend for Fidelity mutual fund investors is by building a position in the Select Technology fund (FSPTX). The top portion of the chart below shows that the relative strength of FSPTX compared to the S&P 500 has turned positive in 2015, which is a very bullish sign:

fsptx

Steadily rising long-term Treasury rates caused a sharp sell off in the interest rate sensitive utilities sector. The chart of the Fidelity Select Utilities Fund (FSUTX) shows that the sector is not participating in the stock market rally and has broken its long-term uptrend:

fsutx

In a previous article we warned that it is too early to invest in the natural resources sector. In spite of the rally in January, this sector continues to be in a downtrend and we think that there are many better investment opportunities in this market.

fnarx

Read more about investment strategies involving these funds at FidelitySignal.com

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The 2013 Capital Gains Distributions for Fidelity Funds are Available Now

On Friday, several Fidelity funds experienced large drops of their net asset values (NAVs). For example, the Fidelity Magellan fund showed a 5.57% drop. Other examples include the Latin America Fund (down 17.79%), the China Region Fund (down 9.2%) and the Select Technology Fund (down 6%).

The explanation is that Friday was the ex. date for the distributions of many Fidelity funds. The pay date for the funds is on Monday, December 9. For investors who chose to reinvest the distributions automatically, the value of their holdings will be adjusted on Monday. For investors who chose not to reinvest, their investment account will be credited by the distribution amounts.

The December dividends and the capital gains distributions for Fidelity funds are available on the following website:

https://www.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/prices-documents/distributions

Buy/sell signals for Fidelity funds are available at FidelitySignal.com 

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