Stock Market Correction Causes Flight to Safe Investments

As the equity market correction unfolds, the current list of the top 10 Fidelity mutual funds shows a dramatic shift compared to what we have seen throughout the year: seven out of the top ten funds are now income funds.

 

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One of the most important new developments is that the yield of the 30-year Treasury bond continues in a downtrend causing long-term Treasury bonds to to resume a very strong uptrend:

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The weakest investments that I highlighted in previous blog articles, such as mutual funds investing in the Eurozone and energy, have continued to decline. However, they are so oversold now that it would not be surprising to see a relief rally.

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The market leaders of the last 12 months, including technology and communications sectors, are turning over now, which is a worrisome sign about the short-term prospects of the stock market:

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View investment strategies at FidelitySignal.com

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Small Cap Stocks are Hit the Hardest as the Market Correction Unfolds; Avoid the Falling Knives; Large Cap Stocks and Biotechs Can Lead the Market when the Next Rally Arrives

Today was a tough day for stock investors. A toxic brew of bad news caused another round of market sell off, but now the volume is increasing, which is definitely not a good sign. The Russell 2000 index, representing small cap stocks, was hit the hardest out of the major U.S. stock indexes. Small cap stocks typically outperform during the expansionary phase of the economic cycle. Consequently, the underperformance of the small cap index versus the large cap S&P 500 index is a worrisome sign.

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In spite of the best efforts by the ECB, increased concern about economic contraction in Europe has caused Eurozone markets to enter a downtrend in July. As the Wall Street adage says, “do not try to catch a falling knife”, we believe that investors are best served to continue to avoid Eurozone investments until the proverbial knife hits the floor. Currently, no floor is in sight.

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Crude oil and other commodities tend to be priced in dollar terms, so as the dollar rallied against all major currencies starting in July, stocks in the energy sector to sell off. The sell off is also exacerbated by concerns about a possible world-wide economic weakness. We will continue to watch the relative strength of the energy sector compared to the S&P 500 index to look for a turn-around that may be similar to what we have seen in February.

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On the bright side, the bull market is still intact for large cap stocks as investors seek out the safety of blue chip companies. As we reported earlier (see article), a rotation of capital is under way into large cap stocks.

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Biotechnology is another area of the stock market that is still holding up. While investing in the biotech sector is appropriate only for aggressive investors, tracking this sector can give us clues about the ability of the stock market to rebound from the correction.

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View investment strategies at FidelitySignal.com

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Best Fidelity Mutual Funds for Investing in the Energy Sector

The gradually increasing price of natural resources and the prospect of worldwide economic recovery have resulted in the sector becoming one of the top investment areas. Fidelity offers several excellent mutual funds to take advantage of this long-term trend. Here, we highlight three of the top ranked natural resources funds (see ranking).

The Fidelity Select Natural Gas Portfolio Fund (FSNGX) is one of the top performing Fidelity mutual fund in 2014 with a 14.17% year-to-date return. The blue arrow on top panel of the chart shows that FSNGX has outperformed the S&P 500 index since January:

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The Fidelity Select Energy Services Fund (FSESX) also shows a similar, very bullish chart pattern:

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For investors who are interested in broad diversification across of natural resources, the Fidelity Select Natural Resources Fund (FNARX) offers an excellent investment choice:

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Buy and sell signals for Fidelity funds are available at FidelitySignal.com

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S&P 500 Index Gets Oversold Bounce; Consumer Staples and Energy Services Sectors Lag the Most

The stock market started February under selling pressure after a weak January performance, which created a short-term oversold condition. Stocks found support on Tuesday and Wednesday, and rebounded on Thursday and Friday. The chart shows that the benchmark Fidelity Spartan U.S. Equity Index Fund (FUSEX)  bounced back from the blue short-term support line.

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The two weakest sector funds are the Fidelity Select Consumer Staples (FDFAX) and the Fidelity Select Energy Services (FSESX) funds. The top portions of the charts show the relative strength of these funds compared to the S&P 500 index. The blue arrow denotes that the relative strength of FDFAX started to decline in April of 2013 and continues to weaken this year.

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Source: FidelitySignal.com

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Equity Markets Correct Around the Globe; Latin American Stocks and the Energy Services Sector are Hit the Hardest

Renewed worries about the slowing Chinese economy caused the sell off of equity markets around the globe today. The rapid devaluation of the Argentine currency had a negative impact on Latin American markets resulting in the Fidelity Latin America Fund (FLATX) being the worst performer of all Fidelity funds. The sell off spread to Asia, as well, resulting in the Fidelity Southeast Asia Fund (FSEAX) entering a bearish downtrend. The weakest U.S. equity fund today was the Fidelity Select Energy Services Fund (FSESX).

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View the top 10 Fidelity funds at FidelitySignal.com

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