Sector Rotation: Social Media ETF Outperforms Most Sector Investments

What are the best equity sectors to invest in, as the market reconfigures itself for the late December rally? We look for the answer using an unbiased ETF rotation screen (source: ETFnext.com):

ETFnext__Sector_Rotation

The screen shows that the Global X Social Media Index Fund (SOCL) ETF is newly rotated to the top 5 list, based on its increased price momentum. SOCL is an attractive investment, because it provides a diversified way to buy social media stocks. Top holdings include Facebook, Tencent, LinkedIn, SINA and Twitter (source: Morningstar).

socl

A closer look at the 1 year chart of SOCL shows that a strong uptrend started in July, but SOCL corrected in early November. The correction coincided with the highly publicized Twitter IPO on November 7. SOCL regained its positive trend in early December and now has one of the strongest price momentum compared to other sectors.

The chart also reveals the divergence between the volume and price trends, and that the recent advance is nearing an overhead resistance. Both the divergence and the proximity of the resistance level should caution investors about jumping in right now. On the other hand, a break out above the resistance on increased volume could make SOCL one of the most exciting investments of 2014.

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Gold stocks break out of trading range

We’ve been tracking gold stocks for some time and the breakout happened today, following a 3.02% move in the gold bullion (GLD).

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) up 3.02%

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) up 3.02%

The Fidelity Select Gold (FSAGX) fund is up 1.64% today and broke out of its trading range

The Fidelity Select Gold (FSAGX) fund is up 1.64% today and broke out of its trading range

On the move: gold stocks are up in a weak market

Gold bullion (see the GLD ETF) broke above the already steep uptrend resistance line and accelerated to a break-neck speed.

The uptrend of the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF is accelerating.

The uptrend of the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ETF is accelerating.

The Fidelity Select Gold fund (FSAGX) closed up 2.19% on Friday and was the best performing sector fund. However, the price pattern of FSAGX shows divergence compared to GLD. FSAGX will need to break above the April highs to resume its uptrend. It is also possible, that the divergence is an early warning, which signals that the speculative bubble in gold bullion will not continue on the long term.

The Fidelity Select Gold fund (FSAGX) is up in a weak market, but still in a trading range.

The Fidelity Select Gold fund (FSAGX) is up in a weak market, but still in a trading range.